Newsvendor

This tutorial was generated using Literate.jl. Download the source as a .jl file. Download the source as a .ipynb file.

This example is based on the classical newsvendor problem, but features an AR(1) spot-price.

   V(x[t-1], ω[t]) =         max p[t] × u[t]
                      subject to x[t] = x[t-1] - u[t] + ω[t]
                                 u[t] ∈ [0, 1]
                                 x[t] ≥ 0
                                 p[t] = p[t-1] + ϕ[t]

The initial conditions are

x[0] = 2.0
p[0] = 1.5
ω[t] ~ {0, 0.05, 0.10, ..., 0.45, 0.5} with uniform probability.
ϕ[t] ~ {-0.25, -0.125, 0.125, 0.25} with uniform probability.
using SDDP, HiGHS, Statistics, Test

function joint_distribution(; kwargs...)
    names = tuple([first(kw) for kw in kwargs]...)
    values = tuple([last(kw) for kw in kwargs]...)
    output_type = NamedTuple{names,Tuple{eltype.(values)...}}
    distribution = map(output_type, Base.product(values...))
    return distribution[:]
end

function newsvendor_example(; cut_type)
    model = SDDP.PolicyGraph(
        SDDP.LinearGraph(3);
        sense = :Max,
        upper_bound = 50.0,
        optimizer = HiGHS.Optimizer,
    ) do subproblem, stage
        @variables(subproblem, begin
            x >= 0, (SDDP.State, initial_value = 2)
            0 <= u <= 1
            w
        end)
        @constraint(subproblem, x.out == x.in - u + w)
        SDDP.add_objective_state(
            subproblem;
            initial_value = 1.5,
            lower_bound = 0.75,
            upper_bound = 2.25,
            lipschitz = 100.0,
        ) do y, ω
            return y + ω.price_noise
        end
        noise_terms = joint_distribution(;
            demand = 0:0.05:0.5,
            price_noise = [-0.25, -0.125, 0.125, 0.25],
        )
        SDDP.parameterize(subproblem, noise_terms) do ω
            fix(w, ω.demand)
            price = SDDP.objective_state(subproblem)
            @stageobjective(subproblem, price * u)
        end
    end
    SDDP.train(
        model;
        log_frequency = 10,
        time_limit = 20.0,
        cut_type = cut_type,
    )
    @test SDDP.calculate_bound(model) ≈ 4.04 atol = 0.05
    results = SDDP.simulate(model, 500)
    objectives =
        [sum(s[:stage_objective] for s in simulation) for simulation in results]
    @test round(Statistics.mean(objectives); digits = 2) ≈ 4.04 atol = 0.1
    return
end

newsvendor_example(; cut_type = SDDP.SINGLE_CUT)
newsvendor_example(; cut_type = SDDP.MULTI_CUT)
-------------------------------------------------------------------
         SDDP.jl (c) Oscar Dowson and contributors, 2017-26
-------------------------------------------------------------------
problem
  nodes           : 3
  state variables : 1
  scenarios       : 8.51840e+04
  existing cuts   : false
options
  solver          : serial mode
  risk measure    : SDDP.Expectation()
  sampling scheme : SDDP.InSampleMonteCarlo
subproblem structure
  VariableRef                             : [6, 6]
  AffExpr in MOI.EqualTo{Float64}         : [1, 3]
  AffExpr in MOI.LessThan{Float64}        : [2, 2]
  VariableRef in MOI.GreaterThan{Float64} : [3, 4]
  VariableRef in MOI.LessThan{Float64}    : [3, 3]
numerical stability report
  matrix range     [8e-01, 2e+00]
  objective range  [1e+00, 2e+00]
  bounds range     [1e+00, 1e+02]
  rhs range        [5e+01, 5e+01]
-------------------------------------------------------------------
 iteration    simulation      bound        time (s)     solves  pid
-------------------------------------------------------------------
        10   5.500000e+00  5.473308e+00  1.667311e-01      1350   1
        20   4.062500e+00  4.451907e+00  2.613552e-01      2700   1
        30   2.993750e+00  4.101372e+00  3.644850e-01      4050   1
        40   5.750000e+00  4.095757e+00  4.734721e-01      5400   1
        50   5.125000e+00  4.093536e+00  5.869851e-01      6750   1
        60   3.737500e+00  4.089225e+00  7.065222e-01      8100   1
        70   4.500000e+00  4.088152e+00  8.250592e-01      9450   1
        80   4.950000e+00  4.087904e+00  9.478850e-01     10800   1
        90   4.125000e+00  4.087756e+00  1.074259e+00     12150   1
       100   3.275000e+00  4.086300e+00  1.209327e+00     13500   1
       110   5.250000e+00  4.086125e+00  1.341551e+00     14850   1
       120   4.975000e+00  4.086054e+00  1.480811e+00     16200   1
       130   3.500000e+00  4.085422e+00  1.616092e+00     17550   1
       140   4.593750e+00  4.085327e+00  1.752603e+00     18900   1
       150   3.000000e+00  4.085258e+00  1.890713e+00     20250   1
       160   2.700000e+00  4.085247e+00  2.055618e+00     21600   1
       170   3.812500e+00  4.085151e+00  2.198151e+00     22950   1
       180   3.875000e+00  4.085121e+00  2.348256e+00     24300   1
       190   4.737500e+00  4.085102e+00  2.492031e+00     25650   1
       200   2.906250e+00  4.085073e+00  2.637437e+00     27000   1
       210   3.750000e+00  4.085050e+00  2.788150e+00     28350   1
       220   5.050000e+00  4.085037e+00  2.936088e+00     29700   1
       230   2.925000e+00  4.085012e+00  3.079438e+00     31050   1
       240   4.500000e+00  4.084970e+00  3.228621e+00     32400   1
       250   4.875000e+00  4.084908e+00  3.382376e+00     33750   1
       260   3.675000e+00  4.084905e+00  3.525817e+00     35100   1
       270   4.725000e+00  4.084903e+00  3.679963e+00     36450   1
       280   3.437500e+00  4.084900e+00  3.829869e+00     37800   1
       290   3.750000e+00  4.084879e+00  3.986271e+00     39150   1
       300   4.125000e+00  4.084879e+00  4.145457e+00     40500   1
       310   4.875000e+00  4.084803e+00  4.300443e+00     41850   1
       320   5.625000e+00  4.084803e+00  4.452240e+00     43200   1
       330   3.825000e+00  4.084800e+00  4.608092e+00     44550   1
       340   3.300000e+00  4.084796e+00  4.765301e+00     45900   1
       350   5.887500e+00  4.084796e+00  4.928625e+00     47250   1
       360   3.600000e+00  4.084786e+00  5.118127e+00     48600   1
       370   3.618750e+00  4.084786e+00  5.273580e+00     49950   1
       380   4.968750e+00  4.084782e+00  5.427014e+00     51300   1
       390   3.300000e+00  4.084780e+00  5.578608e+00     52650   1
       400   4.006250e+00  4.084779e+00  5.744223e+00     54000   1
       410   4.050000e+00  4.084779e+00  5.909133e+00     55350   1
       420   5.125000e+00  4.084776e+00  6.071048e+00     56700   1
       430   4.000000e+00  4.084776e+00  6.232735e+00     58050   1
       440   4.125000e+00  4.084776e+00  6.399454e+00     59400   1
       450   3.112500e+00  4.084776e+00  6.564337e+00     60750   1
       460   3.750000e+00  4.084771e+00  6.729556e+00     62100   1
       470   3.187500e+00  4.084767e+00  6.884280e+00     63450   1
       480   3.031250e+00  4.084757e+00  7.056761e+00     64800   1
       490   4.181250e+00  4.084753e+00  7.222250e+00     66150   1
       500   3.187500e+00  4.084746e+00  7.394877e+00     67500   1
       510   4.875000e+00  4.084741e+00  7.560368e+00     68850   1
       520   3.900000e+00  4.084737e+00  7.722615e+00     70200   1
       530   4.350000e+00  4.084737e+00  7.888739e+00     71550   1
       540   4.212500e+00  4.084737e+00  8.054647e+00     72900   1
       550   4.250000e+00  4.084734e+00  8.239840e+00     74250   1
       560   3.750000e+00  4.084734e+00  8.407458e+00     75600   1
       570   5.306250e+00  4.084730e+00  8.574306e+00     76950   1
       580   4.725000e+00  4.084730e+00  8.740623e+00     78300   1
       590   4.250000e+00  4.084730e+00  8.905893e+00     79650   1
       600   4.000000e+00  4.084730e+00  9.077103e+00     81000   1
       610   4.600000e+00  4.084730e+00  9.238974e+00     82350   1
       620   3.375000e+00  4.084730e+00  9.407220e+00     83700   1
       630   3.981250e+00  4.084725e+00  9.584143e+00     85050   1
       640   3.250000e+00  4.084725e+00  9.752196e+00     86400   1
       650   3.625000e+00  4.084725e+00  9.916323e+00     87750   1
       660   4.781250e+00  4.084725e+00  1.008604e+01     89100   1
       670   4.275000e+00  4.084725e+00  1.026038e+01     90450   1
       680   2.731250e+00  4.084725e+00  1.043934e+01     91800   1
       690   5.237500e+00  4.084725e+00  1.061786e+01     93150   1
       700   3.325000e+00  4.084725e+00  1.078794e+01     94500   1
       710   4.750000e+00  4.084725e+00  1.096890e+01     95850   1
       720   4.537500e+00  4.084725e+00  1.114437e+01     97200   1
       730   4.725000e+00  4.084725e+00  1.132777e+01     98550   1
       740   4.475000e+00  4.084725e+00  1.151603e+01     99900   1
       750   2.893750e+00  4.084725e+00  1.168912e+01    101250   1
       760   3.525000e+00  4.084725e+00  1.186611e+01    102600   1
       770   3.525000e+00  4.084725e+00  1.204312e+01    103950   1
       780   3.262500e+00  4.084725e+00  1.221897e+01    105300   1
       790   4.918750e+00  4.084725e+00  1.240021e+01    106650   1
       800   3.750000e+00  4.084725e+00  1.257589e+01    108000   1
       810   4.687500e+00  4.084725e+00  1.275917e+01    109350   1
       820   4.018750e+00  4.084725e+00  1.294703e+01    110700   1
       830   4.725000e+00  4.084725e+00  1.313722e+01    112050   1
       840   4.268750e+00  4.084725e+00  1.332804e+01    113400   1
       850   5.175000e+00  4.084725e+00  1.351256e+01    114750   1
       860   3.125000e+00  4.084725e+00  1.370813e+01    116100   1
       870   2.762500e+00  4.084725e+00  1.388516e+01    117450   1
       880   3.375000e+00  4.084725e+00  1.406058e+01    118800   1
       890   3.875000e+00  4.084725e+00  1.424843e+01    120150   1
       900   3.093750e+00  4.084725e+00  1.444344e+01    121500   1
       910   4.125000e+00  4.084724e+00  1.463903e+01    122850   1
       920   4.750000e+00  4.084724e+00  1.482661e+01    124200   1
       930   5.431250e+00  4.084724e+00  1.501226e+01    125550   1
       940   3.000000e+00  4.084724e+00  1.519899e+01    126900   1
       950   4.243750e+00  4.084724e+00  1.538090e+01    128250   1
       960   3.756250e+00  4.084724e+00  1.556390e+01    129600   1
       970   3.750000e+00  4.084724e+00  1.575356e+01    130950   1
       980   4.350000e+00  4.084724e+00  1.593524e+01    132300   1
       990   3.375000e+00  4.084722e+00  1.612258e+01    133650   1
      1000   4.750000e+00  4.084722e+00  1.630875e+01    135000   1
      1010   3.825000e+00  4.084722e+00  1.649275e+01    136350   1
      1020   4.000000e+00  4.084722e+00  1.666793e+01    137700   1
      1030   4.500000e+00  4.084722e+00  1.685578e+01    139050   1
      1040   3.637500e+00  4.084722e+00  1.704480e+01    140400   1
      1050   4.050000e+00  4.084722e+00  1.722867e+01    141750   1
      1060   4.925000e+00  4.084722e+00  1.743356e+01    143100   1
      1070   4.500000e+00  4.084722e+00  1.762923e+01    144450   1
      1080   5.000000e+00  4.084722e+00  1.782587e+01    145800   1
      1090   4.393750e+00  4.084722e+00  1.801648e+01    147150   1
      1100   3.750000e+00  4.084722e+00  1.822090e+01    148500   1
      1110   4.306250e+00  4.084722e+00  1.840453e+01    149850   1
      1120   4.200000e+00  4.084722e+00  1.859585e+01    151200   1
      1130   4.343750e+00  4.084722e+00  1.879239e+01    152550   1
      1140   4.650000e+00  4.084722e+00  1.899016e+01    153900   1
      1150   4.537500e+00  4.084722e+00  1.919163e+01    155250   1
      1160   4.250000e+00  4.084722e+00  1.939466e+01    156600   1
      1170   3.312500e+00  4.084722e+00  1.959297e+01    157950   1
      1180   4.968750e+00  4.084722e+00  1.979161e+01    159300   1
      1190   4.062500e+00  4.084718e+00  2.000798e+01    160650   1
-------------------------------------------------------------------
status         : time_limit
total time (s) : 2.000798e+01
total solves   : 160650
best bound     :  4.084718e+00
numeric issues : 0
-------------------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------------------
         SDDP.jl (c) Oscar Dowson and contributors, 2017-26
-------------------------------------------------------------------
problem
  nodes           : 3
  state variables : 1
  scenarios       : 8.51840e+04
  existing cuts   : false
options
  solver          : serial mode
  risk measure    : SDDP.Expectation()
  sampling scheme : SDDP.InSampleMonteCarlo
subproblem structure
  VariableRef                             : [6, 6]
  AffExpr in MOI.EqualTo{Float64}         : [1, 3]
  AffExpr in MOI.LessThan{Float64}        : [2, 2]
  VariableRef in MOI.GreaterThan{Float64} : [3, 4]
  VariableRef in MOI.LessThan{Float64}    : [3, 3]
numerical stability report
  matrix range     [8e-01, 2e+00]
  objective range  [1e+00, 2e+00]
  bounds range     [1e+00, 1e+02]
  rhs range        [5e+01, 5e+01]
-------------------------------------------------------------------
 iteration    simulation      bound        time (s)     solves  pid
-------------------------------------------------------------------
        10   4.125000e+00  4.064757e+00  2.324829e-01      1350   1
        20   5.093750e+00  4.049194e+00  6.275830e-01      2700   1
        30   4.500000e+00  4.039651e+00  1.174888e+00      4050   1
        40   4.350000e+00  4.039170e+00  1.884117e+00      5400   1
        50   4.518750e+00  4.039142e+00  2.653016e+00      6750   1
        60   5.500000e+00  4.038996e+00  3.627816e+00      8100   1
        70   4.925000e+00  4.038776e+00  4.745043e+00      9450   1
        80   4.350000e+00  4.038715e+00  5.988461e+00     10800   1
        90   3.731250e+00  4.038130e+00  7.308219e+00     12150   1
       100   5.025000e+00  4.038063e+00  8.738485e+00     13500   1
       110   4.087500e+00  4.038046e+00  1.027872e+01     14850   1
       120   3.200000e+00  4.038032e+00  1.186992e+01     16200   1
       130   2.937500e+00  4.038031e+00  1.361394e+01     17550   1
       140   5.200000e+00  4.038024e+00  1.553967e+01     18900   1
       150   3.225000e+00  4.037526e+00  1.757229e+01     20250   1
       160   4.000000e+00  4.037325e+00  1.964186e+01     21600   1
       162   4.250000e+00  4.037323e+00  2.010535e+01     21870   1
-------------------------------------------------------------------
status         : time_limit
total time (s) : 2.010535e+01
total solves   : 21870
best bound     :  4.037323e+00
numeric issues : 0
-------------------------------------------------------------------